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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 16th, 2023

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  • I’d add it depends also on your field. If you spend a lot of time assembling technically bespoke solutions, but they are broadly consistent with a lot of popular projects, then it can cut through a lot in short order. When I come to a segment like that, LLM tends to go a lot further.

    But if you are doing something because you can’t find anything vaguely like what you want to do, it tends to only be able to hit like 3 or so lines of useful material a minority of the time. And the bad suggestions can be annoying. Less outright dangerous after you get used to being skeptical by default, but still annoying as it insists on re emphasizing a bad suggestion.

    So I can see where it can be super useful, and also how it can seem more trouble than it is worth.

    Claude and GPT have been my current experience. The best improvement I’ve seen is for the suggestions getting shorter. Used to have like 3 maybe useful lines bundled with a further dozen lines of not what I wanted. Now the first three lines might be similar, but it’s less likely to suggest a big chunk of code.

    Was helping someone the other day and the comic felt pretty accurate. It did exactly the opposite of what the user prompted for. Even after coaxing it to be in the general ballpark, it has about half the generated code being unrelated to the requested task, with side effects that would have seemed functional unless you paid attention and noticed that throughout would have been about 70% lower than you should expect. Was a significant risk as the user was in over their head and unable to understand the suggestions they needed to review, as they were working in a pretty jargon heavy ecosystem (not the AI fault, they had to invoke standard libraries that had incomprehensible jargon heavy syntax)


  • It’s sometimes useful, often obnoxious, sometimes both.

    It tends to shine on very blatantly obvious boilerplate stuff that is super easy, but tedious. You can be sloppy with your input and it will fix it up to be reasonable. Even then you’ve got to be careful, as sometimes what seems blatantly obvious still gets screwed up in weird ways. Even with mistakes, it’s sometimes easier to edit that going from scratch.

    Using an enabled editor that looks at your activity and suggests little snippets is useful, but can be really annoying when it gets particularly insistent on a bad suggestion and keeps nagging you with “hey look at this, you want to do this right?”

    Overall it’s merely mildly useful to me, as my career has been significantly about minimizing boilerplate with decent success. However for a lot of developers, there’s a ton of stupid boilerplate, owing to language design, obnoxiously verbose things, and inscrutable library documentation. I think that’s why some developers are scratching their heads wondering what the supposed big deal is and why some think it’s an amazing technology that has largely eliminated the need for them to manually code.







  • I mean some are, and their support of Cuomo is worthy of condemnation. But it’s worth pointing out ‘vote blue no matter who’ cuts both ways and 100% it means Mamdani.

    Broadly I hate the whole ‘party’ system and getting stuck with a ‘team sport’ mentality, but at least for now, for the national races I have to be pragmatic and steer into the skid of party politics. The local/state level I can afford to be more nuanced as for now, neither big party is as scary locally as the GOP is federally.


  • He won’t run.

    In fact, most anyone you’d want in the job would not actually go for the job. The only people that would want that job are either too dumb to understand how impossible a job it is to do right, or corrupt enough not to even care so long as they can exploit it, or both. A very rare breed that would be self-sacrificing enough to want the job and execute it well and for the good of the people.


  • I’m old enough that the vaccine was unavailable, so I got the illness and at least one scar, but my kid was vaccinated and all my peers’ kids are vaccinated so they just won’t know what it’s like.

    Seems like some countries think it’s better to keep it around to keep previously sickened people exposed to keep their immune system active to mitigate shingles, but seems like the data in the ‘vaccinate most of the kids’ countries have shown that this doesn’t actually matter, so we might see more countries embrace vaccinating against it.


  • The NIH director was appointed by Trump, which came with a pretty strong anti-mask, anti-vaxx, and general ‘covid was a hoax’ sort of baggage, so he is unfortunately not that credible.

    There is a study that correlates to the ages he specifies, but the conclusion is that the risks inflicted by the vaccine were still lower than the risks of COVID itself even for that age group, but no matter how they sliced it the risks either way for the age group was minimal, neither the vaccinne nor COVID were too risky overall. Pre-vaccine chicken pox was deadlier to kids than COVID was to that age group, and we didn’t consider that to be particularly risky, mostly worth vaccinating due to heading off the chances for shingles later.


  • In the age group most at risk of COVID-19 vaccine myocarditis (12–29 years), for every 100 000 vaccinated, compared to about four more cases of myocarditis we have 56 fewer hospitalizations, 13.8 admissions to intensive care and 0.6 fewer deaths. Several studies have shown that post vaccine myocarditis/pericarditis are generally short-lasting phenomena with favourable clinically course.

    The paper recognizes a 0.004% increase in mild short term myocarditis, with about a 0.05% decrease in hospitalization, 0.014% decrease in intensive care needs, and a 0.0006% decreased chance of death from COVID.

    Of course, all this suggests that in that age range, it’s messing with all very low percentages, so it’s pretty much a wash whether they vaccinate or not, statistically speaking. But the vaccine risk is not ‘much higher’ and the severity of the risk is generally low, and seemingly still technically lower risk than COVID itself, but the risk for any of it is kind of down in the noise.