That curve is bullshit both in its original “hype cycle” formulation and in this one.
Because most things crash and burn in the Valley of Despair. Hyped technologies almost always hit the Valley of Despair and then collapse and fail, never reaching enlightenment or sustainability. And the Dunnning-Kruger version you’ve put here has the very risibly optimistic view that people break out of the know-nothing stage.
That curve is bullshit both in its original “hype cycle” formulation and in this one.
Because most things crash and burn in the Valley of Despair. Hyped technologies almost always hit the Valley of Despair and then collapse and fail, never reaching enlightenment or sustainability. And the Dunnning-Kruger version you’ve put here has the very risibly optimistic view that people break out of the know-nothing stage.